Article: Nearly Half of U.S. Mobile Users Plan to Buy iPhone 5, iPhone 4S Not As Much

[Phillip Swanson]

The definition of Survey: to take a general or comprehensive view of or appraise, as a situation, area of study, etc.


As in most surveys they used the general aspect. We can't even have a successful census in the U.S. much less get every persons personal thoughts on whether they'd buy and iPhone 5 or 4s. This is a general survey to be taken with a grain of salt. Just like every other survey you've ever read.

Ah, but statistics isn't so simple. Like you said most surveys are used to find a general consensus, which is impossible to do by getting a single opinion from every person. Instead statisticians use a random sample, or other means, to get a sample size that represents the larger population. There are a ton of tests used to justify reliability (reliability test) and validity, measured in what is usually called a confidence interval. Usually a confidence interval between 95 and 100% is acceptable and the findings are then viewed as a good representation of the population.

Guh...statistics....

[mikelegend]

yes i will buy it too count me in the list of Apple Freaks!!!

[vantheman169]

I would too!

I think it's incredible how much attention a nonexistent device has brought across the internet. It must be easily the most sought after item in the world today. I am excited to see the sales numbers for the first quarter.

Agreed! I am excited about next Tuesday for sure! Bring on the iPhone 5!

[RICO_]

Anybody else think the two phones are going to be an 8gb iPhone 4S and the iPhone 5 with 16 and 32 gb storage?

Question is what's the pricing gonna be?

[bish0p34]

I would too!

I think it's incredible how much attention a nonexistent device has brought across the internet. It must be easily the most sought after item in the world today. I am excited to see the sales numbers for the first quarter.

That's Apple's thing...hype and marketing. Feed them a little in anticipation, and watch them line up. They do it all the time...and it works!

[confucious]

Anybody else think the two phones are going to be an 8gb iPhone 4S and the iPhone 5 with 16 and 32 gb storage?

Question is what's the pricing gonna be?

I think the 8Gb will just be an iPhone 4 but other than that I'm with you.

[sziklassy]

I always take survey results like this with a 10 pound bag of salt. That said, it's a little funny what this implies. So long as we call the new phone "iPhone 5", people will buy it. If it's called an iPhone 4S, they will not. That's a little bit humorous to me, but I suppose that it how many Apple product purchase decisions are made. People want to be seen on the street with the latest and greatest and they want everyone around them to know it. Don't get me wrong, I have had every generation of iPhone, but always with the intentions to return it (or sell it on eBay) if it wasn't a clear cut improvement on the previous model. If all we get is a 4S and we still see the speed increase that we did between the 3G and 3GS then I am still sold. If it's minor tweaks like more onboard stoarage capacity, HSPA+, etc. then this will be the first year I do not upgrade.

[Jahooba]

Maybe there's going to be an iPhone 5a and iPhone 5b. One of them having only 8 gigs and no cameras. That would be great. I don't need an 8mp camera. I hate taking pictures. I just want access to all my programs and games (having an ipod touch I tend to stay away from camera/ picture apps, anyway.

[lordra]

I'm scared about the value of my iPhone 4 dropping drastically!!!

[micaiah12]

Statistics are not really good at what they do now a days. They are very illogical and are not getting everyone vote. Although that is besides the point. i5 is totally mine when it comes out lol. I may do some research, make sure it is worth it.

[Orby]

I'm still not sure what people think the difference between the iPhone 5 and the 4S is?

How can people make judgments on products which they know nothing about?

It's all in the branding and marketing image. People don't like the thought of "delays" for a "slight upgrade" in the "magical phone" department.

I expect an Apple tour de force in the marketing for this... my gut intuits this model year will be the year that "makes" (another market share jump in the G8) or "breaks" (Nokia, RIM, Palm) the iPhone brand.

Ah, but statistics isn't so simple. Like you said most surveys are used to find a general consensus, which is impossible to do by getting a single opinion from every person. Instead statisticians use a random sample, or other means, to get a sample size that represents the larger population. There are a ton of tests used to justify reliability (reliability test) and validity, measured in what is usually called a confidence interval. Usually a confidence interval between 95 and 100% is acceptable and the findings are then viewed as a good representation of the population.

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." --attributed to Benjamin Disraeli

I'm scared about the value of my iPhone 4 dropping drastically!!!

You have roughly thirty-five hours before poo hits the fan. I'd advise striking a deal posthaste to maximize sales price.