iPads Will Outsell Macs by 2012: Analyst

**Paul Daniel Ash** · 09-13-2010, 02:39 PM

According to a market analyst, the iPad is poised to make Apple more money than all Mac sales put together as soon as 2012. That's the prediction of the amusingly named "Deagol" Tello, which is being quoted approvingly by Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Fortune magazine's Apple 2.0 blog.

The iPad has been a runaway success, despite some early naysayers; one of them, of course, being Steve Jobs himself, who once famously asked why people would want to buy something that would only be good for surfing the web from the bathroom. The tablet has been credited for the 73% improvement in Apple's retail sales over the past year, and Apple has already significantly repositioned its business to focus more on the iPad and other iOS devices.

Tello - who for some reason goes by the name of the first hobbit who found the One Ring only to be killed by Gollum - uses a financial formula of his own design to estimate Apple's future business potential. Tello posted a chart to his blog back in April showing his analysis, which actually showed less iPad sales than have already been seen. So it's possible that the updated chart he posted today may actually underestimate the iPad's future sales, which he's guessing could reach $18 billion US by the end of 2011. Mac sales, he thinks, will total $20 billion by that time, with iPads pulling ahead in 2012.

The analysis shows the iPhone continuing to be the main revenue driver for Apple, bringing in $32.7 billion in 2011. iPod sales will begin to decline, having flattened out recently, while iTunes, software, and peripheral revenue will continue to increase. Take it all with a grain of salt, of course: as the disclosure on Deagol's blog states, he has "long AAPL shares," indicating that he's a stockholder in Apple rather than a short-term speculator.

Source: Fortune

**l0ngh0rns89** · 09-13-2010, 02:43 PM

That's exactly why I'm getting one before a MacBook.

**apat55** · 09-13-2010, 02:54 PM

totally dude

**nautical79** · 09-13-2010, 02:55 PM

I want a Mac so desperate, but money is an issue. So an iPad, yes i can afford it. And thats the reason why its selling pretty Well.

**plcrules** · 09-13-2010, 03:03 PM

I wouldnt pick in iPad over a Mac till it can run a Mac os and has atleast 2 ghz and 2 gb of ram cuz right now 1 ghz and 218 or wat ever the ram it has is pretty sad for it's size

**delusion950** · 09-13-2010, 03:45 PM

Id get an iPad too b4 i got Mac. Totally understandale.

**delusion950** · 09-13-2010, 03:46 PM

understandable*

**Daerid** · 09-13-2010, 04:53 PM

I'm not convinced

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**sziklassy** · 09-13-2010, 05:16 PM

I suppose this statistic goes to show you what the average person uses their $1000+ laptop for... browsing the internet...

**awesomeSlayer** · 09-13-2010, 05:54 PM

Originally Posted by delusion950

understandable*

You know that there's an edit button to edit your post.

iPads will probably outsell Macs likely due to their price.

**Jay Marcase** · 09-13-2010, 06:03 PM

Originally Posted by awesomeSlayer

You know that there's an edit button to edit your post.

iPads will probably outsell Macs likely due to their price.

Exactly.

**adrian1480** · 09-13-2010, 06:16 PM

my MacBook Pro >>>>> my iPad.

lol, that they would even occupy the same space in a conversation is utterly laughable. though it's no surprise that most can get by with just an iPad. i look at "post your desktop" threads and see most people's have the simplest applications in their OSX dock. twitter web browser, text editor, other simple crap. if that's all people are using their computers for, ya mine as well get an iPad and an external keyboard and enjoy yourself.

**zoso10** · 09-13-2010, 06:48 PM

I have both!!

Haha I like the background of the graph up there.

**winvargh** · 09-13-2010, 06:48 PM

Wow that's crazy. An ipad is good but a Mac is way better

**whereswaldo** · 09-13-2010, 08:23 PM

Maybe more like 2015

**ADF** · 09-13-2010, 09:49 PM

Who didn't see this coming.

**StealthBravo** · 09-13-2010, 09:59 PM

There is no comparison between the two really.

**tudtran** · 09-13-2010, 10:04 PM

Wow. Will see when 2012 come around

**southfrisco** · 09-13-2010, 10:21 PM

Not for me. I need computing power. I would buy a Mac before an iPad. I do think though that people in general are intrigued by not being chained to a desk or table for media and Internet consumption.

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**madczech** · 09-13-2010, 10:26 PM

Originally Posted by StealthBravo

There is no comparison between the two really.

agreed.. It would be like comparing iPod sales with mac sales... Totally different use to them

And sure it's not surprising as the iPad is cheaper, and most people just need a gadget for mail, web browsing, fotos, etc (the simple things) but again it's not a stand alone product you need a computer to get it started which is what makes me wonder if the popularity of the iPad will boost the mac sales?

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According to a market analyst, the iPad is poised to make Apple more money than all Mac sales put together as soon as 2012. That's the prediction of the amusingly