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  • iPads Will Outsell Macs by 2012: Analyst

    According to a market analyst, the iPad is poised to make Apple more money than all Mac sales put together as soon as 2012. That's the prediction of the amusingly named "Deagol" Tello, which is being quoted approvingly by Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Fortune magazine's Apple 2.0 blog.

    The iPad has been a runaway success, despite some early naysayers; one of them, of course, being Steve Jobs himself, who once famously asked why people would want to buy something that would only be good for surfing the web from the bathroom. The tablet has been credited for the 73% improvement in Apple's retail sales over the past year, and Apple has already significantly repositioned its business to focus more on the iPad and other iOS devices.

    Tello - who for some reason goes by the name of the first hobbit who found the One Ring only to be killed by Gollum - uses a financial formula of his own design to estimate Apple's future business potential. Tello posted a chart to his blog back in April showing his analysis, which actually showed less iPad sales than have already been seen. So it's possible that the updated chart he posted today may actually underestimate the iPad's future sales, which he's guessing could reach $18 billion US by the end of 2011. Mac sales, he thinks, will total $20 billion by that time, with iPads pulling ahead in 2012.

    The analysis shows the iPhone continuing to be the main revenue driver for Apple, bringing in $32.7 billion in 2011. iPod sales will begin to decline, having flattened out recently, while iTunes, software, and peripheral revenue will continue to increase. Take it all with a grain of salt, of course: as the disclosure on Deagol's blog states, he has "long AAPL shares," indicating that he's a stockholder in Apple rather than a short-term speculator.

    Source: Fortune
    This article was originally published in forum thread: iPads Will Outsell Macs by 2012: Analyst started by Paul Daniel Ash View original post
    Comments 30 Comments
    1. madczech's Avatar
      madczech -
      Quote Originally Posted by jose060789 View Post
      iPad is whack.

      Sent from my iPhone using ModMyi
      thanks for that interesting thought....
    1. dogger's Avatar
      dogger -
      Nah, iPad is tight
    1. sandstorm77's Avatar
      sandstorm77 -
      Quote Originally Posted by jose060789 View Post
      iPad is whack.

      Sent from my iPhone using ModMyi

      You are whack! dont be a hater because you can't afford an iPad.
    1. n00neimp0rtant's Avatar
      n00neimp0rtant -
      I'll tell you why, Steve: because it has an Apple logo on it.
    1. zozodouce's Avatar
      zozodouce -
      ipad2 anyone lol.
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      I know the ipad is a growing market, but last time I checked the Mac was too
    1. iNT3Rv3NTiONZz's Avatar
      iNT3Rv3NTiONZz -
      I don't think I'll get an iPad till they have at least 512mb RAM, I'm geussing the next iPad will have the same chip as the iphone4? They can't push out another 256 iPad, I still don't understand why the new iPod isn't repping the top A4, confusing...

      Sent from my iPhone using ModMyi
    1. zeroGsti's Avatar
      zeroGsti -
      If the Ipad could run Flash like the Macbooks I would get one right away. I think its a great device and it's just missing flash to make the whole online experience on the Ipad a little better. JMO
    1. jhtapia's Avatar
      jhtapia -
      I would get the ipad before a mac
    1. defdad's Avatar
      defdad -
      Just bought my first Mac recently. Now saving for an iPad. I think a lot of new Mac users are probably doing the same.