Analyst Gene Munster with Piper Jaffray polled a small sample of 216 mobile phone users and found, among other things, that 74% of Verizon customers planning on buying an iPhone next are waiting to buy Apple's next-generation iPhone.
Only 53% of AT&T customers planning on buying an iPhone next are waiting for the next-generation model to come out. Munster also found an incredibly high retention rate amongst iPhone owners with 94% of current iPhone owners indicating they expect to buy another Apple handset. Only 47% of Android users expect to buy another Android device, and nearly 42% said they plan on switching to an iPhone.
Munster's survey was conducted during workdays in downtown Minneapolis and conducted over the span of week in varying public places. While the sample may be small and not entirely random, it provides a little insite into how much mobile phone users are anticipating Apple's next phone.
This pent up demand for the next iPhone at Verizon may drive numbers higher than the 3.8 (million) units we are modeling Apple to sell through Verizon in the Sept. quarter. And our overall iPhone unit estimate of 22.0m in the Sept. quarter may prove to be conservative. - Munster