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  • iPad 2: What Are the Odds?


    With the iPad 2 release just a couple hours away, the tech world is reviewing all the rumors that have been swirling around for months about the new model. Some people are doing more than that, though: apparently the sports book mavens at Bookmaker.com have set a line for the possible features that may be introduced. Their guesses are in line with mainstream opinion, though with Apple's penchant for secrecy it could be that someone betting against the line could have a big win.

    Bookmaker.com is a major sportsline site: the American arm of the giant BetCRIS online gambling empire based in Costa Rica. Their analysts are considered so authoritative that many other sports books wait for BetCRIS to set the odds before setting their own. This is not the first time that the BetCRIS bookies have gotten involved in tech: last September they set a line for the next manufacturer to release a tablet after the PlayBook was announced. Unfortunately, they got that one really, really wrong.

    Risk manager and oddsmaker Tony Harvey seems like he's done better with the iPad 2 announcement line. The most common predictions are given high likelihood, such as three different versions (presumably Wi-Fi, Wi-Fi+GSM and Wi-FI+CDMA), two cameras, and a non-smudge screen and gyroscope. Other predictions are given split odds, like a flat back and a wide-range speaker. Longshots include a 7-inch model and a retina display.

    Obviously, we don't recommend that anyone gamble on this. It's a dumb way to risk your money, and Apple has fooled us before. However, for fun let's look at what they came up with. If you aren't familiar with sports betting, the number after the bet is the money line: +500 means you'd win $1000 on a $500 bet, while -1500 means that if you bet $1500 you'd only win $1000. The percentage in parentheses is the odds that bet will win.

    There will be three versions of the iPad 2
    Yes -1500 (96%)
    No +500 (17%)

    A front and back-facing camera
    Yes -1500 (96%)
    No +500 (17%)

    Slimmer, lighter and retina display
    Yes -5000 (160%)
    No +1000 (9.10%)

    A flat back
    Yes +100 (49%)
    No -160 (61.7%)

    A wide-range speaker
    Yes -130 (56%)
    No -130 (56%)

    A USB port
    Yes +200 (33.3%)
    No -500 (83.3%)

    A dual-core CPU
    Yes -500 (83.3%)
    No +200 (33.3%)

    A non-smudge screen & gyroscope
    Yes -1500 (96%)
    No +500 (17%)

    A 7-inch version
    Yes +1000 (9.10%)
    No -5000 (160%)

    Source: TUAW
    This article was originally published in forum thread: iPad 2: What Are the Odds? started by Paul Daniel Ash View original post
    Comments 44 Comments
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      steve is out
    1. GrandMstrBud's Avatar
      GrandMstrBud -
      Quote Originally Posted by athleticswimmer View Post
      Hey if anyone knows where the event is streaming live can you be nice enough to post a link! thanks.
      I'd love to see a live stream
    1. nautical79's Avatar
      nautical79 -
      Most of the gamblers are apple employes that know the real thing.
    1. Rob2G's Avatar
      Rob2G -
      Quote Originally Posted by z3r01 View Post
      yes and today is my B-Day so hit that thanks button for my B-Day
      Thanks for being born
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      Steve Jobs is in the house!

      Quote Originally Posted by athleticswimmer View Post
      Hey if anyone knows where the event is streaming live can you be nice enough to post a link! thanks.
      there's no strems but you can listen here: TWiT Live - netcasts you love, from people you trust

      A5 chip and called iPad 2
      dual core

      9x faster graphics
      2x CPU
      I'm listining in here: TWiT Live - netcasts you love, from people you trust
      rear and front camera
      gyroscope

      1/3 thinner
      thinner than iPhone 4

      it's in white, with no wait
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      here's a pic
      no price cut
      if you look at the pic, theres some new Apps on the springboard
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      same memory, 16, 32, 64
      shipping march 11
      25th in Canada, UK, Germany, France, Japan, australia
      HDMI 1080P Output cable for $39
    1. athleticswimmer's Avatar
      athleticswimmer -
      The ipad2 is 33% thinner than the original ipad(so it's 3.3 cm) I think it's thinner or just about as thin as the iphone. there will be a white and black version, front facing camera, gyroscope, same 10 hour battery life, same price, 2X faster cpu.....AND IM NOT SURE IF IT HAS BACKFACING CAMERA! yet.
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      "smart cables"
    1. thazsar's Avatar
      thazsar -
      Yep, like whereswaldo said, u can listen/watch @:
      http://iphone-streaming.ustream.tv/u.../playlist.m3u8
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      new cover uses magnets to stick to iPad

      apparently CNN has a live feed

      microfiber lining cleans screen while closed. magnets in iPad and smart cover to always stay perfectly aligned. Leather and polyurathane, $39 for poly $69 for leather

      scott talking on iOS 4.3 now

      4.3 runs javascript 2x as fast, streams from computers to iPads, iPods and iPhones over wifi making it an Apple TV
      like reverse AirPlay
      adding apps to the AppleTV
      personal hotspot on iPhone 4

      Airplay apps and videos, meaning you can play Hulu on TV with iPhone

      slider switch for mute or rotation on iPad

      adding Photobooth.app to the iPad in 4.3
      you can listen in here: TWiT Live - netcasts you love, from people you trust
    1. athleticswimmer's Avatar
      athleticswimmer -
      PHOTOBOOTH FOR IPAD....ummmm....SOLD!!!!
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      Facetime for iPad!

      "the size of the iPad is ideal for video confrencing"

      new facetime icon
    1. bignighttrain's Avatar
      bignighttrain -
      It's all true and coming in white and black on the 11th of march with the same price tag as the first iPad that's only 9 days away lucky I got my cash ready and I'm going to be in line at the Sacramento Arden Fair mall Apple Store probably going to sleep in the car. This is really another Game Changer by Apple.
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      4.3 coming out March 11 with the new iPad, it's free. No Verizon iPhone getting 4.3
      iMovie for iPad

      CNN's live feed is 15 minutes behind, there are people showing live videos but they're getting kicked out

      iMovie update march 11, GarageBand for iPad coming!

      Guitar amps and effects in GarageBand, new loops
      tap piano keys to actually play it

      dynamics in the Piano, hit it hard for loud notes

      the site is out: Apple - iPad - All-new design. Video calls. HD video. And more.

      Lower price in Canada to match the American prices! 5PM launch time
    1. Jahooba's Avatar
      Jahooba -
      Quote Originally Posted by z3r01 View Post
      yes and today is my B-Day so hit that thanks button for my B-Day
      Today is my dad's birthday, too. Lots happening today!
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      still same resolution, 720P video 30FPS
    1. athleticswimmer's Avatar
      athleticswimmer -
      do you think if i get white it'll look to girly? it just looks so sleek and fine, im in love with a tablet! lol.
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      will there be a "one more thing"
    1. GrandMstrBud's Avatar
      GrandMstrBud -
      Very nice specs, but the thing that gets me is no AWS for T-Mobile 3G. This may just keep me from buying it