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  • iPad 2: What Are the Odds?


    With the iPad 2 release just a couple hours away, the tech world is reviewing all the rumors that have been swirling around for months about the new model. Some people are doing more than that, though: apparently the sports book mavens at Bookmaker.com have set a line for the possible features that may be introduced. Their guesses are in line with mainstream opinion, though with Apple's penchant for secrecy it could be that someone betting against the line could have a big win.

    Bookmaker.com is a major sportsline site: the American arm of the giant BetCRIS online gambling empire based in Costa Rica. Their analysts are considered so authoritative that many other sports books wait for BetCRIS to set the odds before setting their own. This is not the first time that the BetCRIS bookies have gotten involved in tech: last September they set a line for the next manufacturer to release a tablet after the PlayBook was announced. Unfortunately, they got that one really, really wrong.

    Risk manager and oddsmaker Tony Harvey seems like he's done better with the iPad 2 announcement line. The most common predictions are given high likelihood, such as three different versions (presumably Wi-Fi, Wi-Fi+GSM and Wi-FI+CDMA), two cameras, and a non-smudge screen and gyroscope. Other predictions are given split odds, like a flat back and a wide-range speaker. Longshots include a 7-inch model and a retina display.

    Obviously, we don't recommend that anyone gamble on this. It's a dumb way to risk your money, and Apple has fooled us before. However, for fun let's look at what they came up with. If you aren't familiar with sports betting, the number after the bet is the money line: +500 means you'd win $1000 on a $500 bet, while -1500 means that if you bet $1500 you'd only win $1000. The percentage in parentheses is the odds that bet will win.

    There will be three versions of the iPad 2
    Yes -1500 (96%)
    No +500 (17%)

    A front and back-facing camera
    Yes -1500 (96%)
    No +500 (17%)

    Slimmer, lighter and retina display
    Yes -5000 (160%)
    No +1000 (9.10%)

    A flat back
    Yes +100 (49%)
    No -160 (61.7%)

    A wide-range speaker
    Yes -130 (56%)
    No -130 (56%)

    A USB port
    Yes +200 (33.3%)
    No -500 (83.3%)

    A dual-core CPU
    Yes -500 (83.3%)
    No +200 (33.3%)

    A non-smudge screen & gyroscope
    Yes -1500 (96%)
    No +500 (17%)

    A 7-inch version
    Yes +1000 (9.10%)
    No -5000 (160%)

    Source: TUAW
    This article was originally published in forum thread: iPad 2: What Are the Odds? started by Paul Daniel Ash View original post
    Comments 44 Comments
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      yes and today is my B-Day so hit that thanks button for my B-Day
    1. zinjen's Avatar
      zinjen -
      For some reason I don't see them adding a USB port atleast anytime soon. I'm sure there would be way to many conflicts with devices that are designed for other OS's.
    1. altezzais650's Avatar
      altezzais650 -
      Correct me if i'm wrong but if you wagered the below odds
      -1500 bet $100 to win $100 or lose $1500
      +500 bet $100 to win $500 or lose $100

      Can't wait, held off on the iPad1 for this iPad2.
    1. iphone4idiots's Avatar
      iphone4idiots -
      Dam, wish I had an account there. I'd put a few dimes on no rear facing camera at 5 to 1.

      Bookies make money so I guess there will be one, but IMO it's pointless. Rather have more megapixels in the front facing one.
    1. vbx's Avatar
      vbx -
      Quote Originally Posted by altezzais650 View Post
      Correct me if i'm wrong but if you wagered the below odds
      -1500 bet $100 to win $100 or lose $1500
      +500 bet $100 to win $500 or lose $100

      Can't wait, held off on the iPad1 for this iPad2.
      Your second line is correct. The first one should be:

      -1500 = bet $1500 to win $100 (or lose $1500)
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      i hope apple streams the event
    1. plumoso's Avatar
      plumoso -
      A what time is the event ?? And were can we see it or stream it????does any body knows
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      depends where your are...east coast is at 1pm
    1. athleticswimmer's Avatar
      athleticswimmer -
      can someone please tell me what is the exact time the event starts?

      edit* sorry didnt scroll down all the way now I know thanks!
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      read the post above yours
    1. spazturtle's Avatar
      spazturtle -
      The event is in half an hour, I'm reading it at Gizmodo Liveblog
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      gizmodo isnt the best place as its not one of apples friends....i would go with engadget
    1. steelersfan32's Avatar
      steelersfan32 -
      An USB port on the iPad would be great, plug your iPod into your iPad into your MacBook airplaying something onto your apple tv2. Major nerdgasms would follow.
    1. vedavis's Avatar
      vedavis -
      Live Bloggin' it over at Engadget

      Apple's updating their store "We'll be back shortly"!
    1. Snozberries's Avatar
      Snozberries -
      Quote Originally Posted by z3r01 View Post
      yes and today is my B-Day so hit that thanks button for my B-Day
      could have just said 'first!'

      -1mil
    1. whereswaldo's Avatar
      whereswaldo -
      I'd have to take the favorites in all of those odds
    1. athleticswimmer's Avatar
      athleticswimmer -
      it's officially 1PM!!!!!

      - dang it posted it 1 min late
    1. z3r01's Avatar
      z3r01 -
      Quote Originally Posted by Snozberries View Post
      could have just said 'first!'

      -1mil
      BOOOOOOOOO, first is for women
    1. MLGKorno's Avatar
      MLGKorno -
      WTF it's 10:00 PST but I don't see anything on Apple.com???

      Last time I was able to stream directly live during their event on Sep 1 when they revealed the iPods
    1. athleticswimmer's Avatar
      athleticswimmer -
      Hey if anyone knows where the event is streaming live can you be nice enough to post a link! thanks.