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  • iPhone 4's Luster Finally Losing its Grip on Consumers



    Until recently, most studies, surveys, polls, market analysis, and good old fashioned word on the street all suggested the same thing - the iPhone 4 is 2010's biggest attention-getter in the mobile space and, arguably, the most popular and talked-about smartphone ever produced.

    But, in recent weeks, the iPhone has seemingly begun to lose its stranglehold on consumers. Based on the latest findings of ChangeWave Research about smartphone preferences, only 38% of prospective smartphone buyers surveyed want iOS on their next smartphone. Relatively speaking, that figure represents a significant 12 point drop from this past June, a month in which the new 4th generation iPhone was unveiled and a whopping 50% of all would-be smartphone buyers said they wanted an iPhone. Although the "freshness" of the 4th gen iPhone release in June likely skewed the results of the survey to the upside, the precipitous decline is noteworthy, nonetheless.

    So who is picking up the iPhone's slack? Android. 37% of the survey participants expressed interest in an Android based phone. To date, the narrowing gap in consumer interest between the iPhone (38%) and Android (37%) represents the closest race ever witnessed in a ChangeWave study for smartphone dominance between these two superpowers of the mobile space. As previously, however, the Apple iOS still "leads the industry with 74% of customers who use the iPhone OS saying they’re Very Satisfied." Only 65% of Android OS users, however, report being "Very Satisfied."

    ChangeWave
    This article was originally published in forum thread: iPhone 4's Luster Finally Losing its Grip on Consumers started by Michael Essany View original post
    Comments 111 Comments
    1. alah9586's Avatar
      alah9586 -
      The vibrant is amazing !!!!!! But iPhone 4 is still better
    1. mortopher's Avatar
      mortopher -
      Quote Originally Posted by skj8100 View Post
      Isn't that problem enough? Especially when most of the updates are pretty much only to close the most recent jailbreak exploit....
      You understand that all Apple is doing is patching up holes in their devices' security, right? They'd be doing a disservice to the overwhelming majority of iDevice owners that don't jailbreak.
    1. tudtran's Avatar
      tudtran -
      I still think iPhone 4 is gonna be top seller this holiday season
    1. awesome.rising's Avatar
      awesome.rising -
      Quote Originally Posted by squassss View Post
      The surveys are always flawed. People will try and steer the market with skewed surveys all the time. However, people need to have these charts to be told what they should buy this season and what carrier to use. Best bet is not to listen to the surveys and try the products for yourself.
      True that... But people are like sheep. They see one flawed survey; and they use it like a weapon in their arsenal of excuses to flame other devices. But no matter how much you try NOT listening to these surveys people will start flaming them.
    1. klouud's Avatar
      klouud -
      There are like 500 Android phones... I don't think throwing them all into one statistic is fair or realistic. So yeah... 37% of the sample of prospective smartphone buyers would like one of the roughly 20-30 Android phones available makes for about 1-5% per phone. Not impressive.

      Google is making a killing from the OS, but I will eat my hat if one single Android device is able to overtake the iPhone. With a new Android phone being released every couple of months it is impossible to get a user base that rivals that of the iPhone.

      So eventually there may be more Androids in circulation than iPhones, but the fragmentation will not allow it to overshadow the iPhone.

      tim
    1. awesome.rising's Avatar
      awesome.rising -
      Quote Originally Posted by klouud View Post
      There are like 500 Android phones... I don't think throwing them all into one statistic is fair or realistic. So yeah... 37% of the sample of prospective smartphone buyers would like one of the roughly 20-30 Android phones available makes for about 1-5% per phone. Not impressive.

      Google is making a killing from the OS, but I will eat my hat if one single Android device is able to overtake the iPhone. With a new Android phone being released every couple of months it is impossible to get a user base that rivals that of the iPhone.

      So eventually there may be more Androids in circulation than iPhones, but the fragmentation will not allow it to overshadow the iPhone.

      tim
      You are my new hero.
    1. awesomeSlayer's Avatar
      awesomeSlayer -
      Quote Originally Posted by lilrican21 View Post
      Soon we might need a modmydroid.com Lol
      We have a ModMyMobile, MMi's sister site, which has Android stuff in there.

      Wow, half of these comments require a mass facepalm.

    1. Zokunei's Avatar
      Zokunei -
      Quote Originally Posted by awesomeSlayer View Post
      We have a ModMyMobile, MMi's sister site, which has Android stuff in there.
      Not to mention that there literally is a modmydroid.com. Lol. I know some of my comments deserve a facepalm. So,
    1. petterloco1's Avatar
      petterloco1 -
      This carrier exlusivity is only in the us, other countrieshave ot on all carriers lol
      Quote Originally Posted by VBLUE42 View Post
      This is to be expected as Android is on multiple phones and multiple carriers. As soon as Apple will drop the exclusive carrier crap and open up the other carriers, the iPhone will be and stay on top. Even now the ratio of iPhones on one carrier to any other phone on multiple carriers is far higher for the iPhone.
    1. BIMPtacular's Avatar
      BIMPtacular -
      I just made the swap from iPhone to Samsung Captivate, now running froyo, and I will never buy another iPhone. Even though most Apple fanboys, no offense if you are said fanboy, will argue that flash is no big deal I have to say that having full flash 10.1 running native is pretty nice. I'm glad to see android picking up steam and bringing more apps to the market. I'm still waiting to see what the WP7 brings to the table, as I would love to play around with XNA on it.
    1. mudrock1000's Avatar
      mudrock1000 -
      Alot of you seem to think "why this is madness this survey is completely wrong"
      But the fact is this, everyone has personal preferences in a phone, and Android just happens to span across multiple devices and Apple iPhones are still clinging to ATT like glue through many contracts. And by the time Apple has it on multiple carriers, it will be tougher to do because many like the hardware specs of say, the droid 2 better than the iphone, So there is gonna be a fair amount of healthy competition if this carrier deal isn't gone by 5th gen.

      I personally would love to see it on multiple carriers myself!
    1. awesome.rising's Avatar
      awesome.rising -
      Quote Originally Posted by mudrock1000 View Post
      Alot of you seem to think "why this is madness this survey is completely wrong"
      But the fact is this, everyone has personal preferences in a phone, and Android just happens to span across multiple devices and Apple iPhones are still clinging to ATT like glue through many contracts. And by the time Apple has it on multiple carriers, it will be tougher to do because many like the hardware specs of say, the droid 2 better than the iphone, So there is gonna be a fair amount of healthy competition if this carrier deal isn't gone by 5th gen.

      I personally would love to see it on multiple carriers myself!
      I want you to look at the graph. The math doesn't add up.
    1. Terdy515's Avatar
      Terdy515 -
      Quote Originally Posted by subywrex View Post
      Well when half the smart phone users purchased the iPhone 4 in the first few days I think sales are expected to decrease lol
      Yea this study is dumb. Of course sales are going to drop because everyone already bought their iDevice!
    1. Zokunei's Avatar
      Zokunei -
      Quote Originally Posted by awesome.rising View Post
      I want you to look at the graph. The math doesn't add up.
      You mean how there's only 82%?
    1. madczech's Avatar
      madczech -
      Quote Originally Posted by Mes View Post
      Competition is good. Everyone wins.
      consumers yes.... not everyone
    1. Dr.Xanax's Avatar
      Dr.Xanax -
      Though some may not agree that Android is superior to iOS, I think most of us can unianomously agree that the iPhone operating system is in need of a massive overhaul. The GUI, integration and overall washed out feel simply doesn't "just work" anymore. With Google offering what seems to be a very powerful force in the mobile OS market, Apple better take a hint.

      Remember that necessity is the mother of all invention. As of right now, it's fairly clear that Apple doesn't see the necessity to improve their OS (also, Steve Jobs' massive ego inhibits the potential for growth). If you look at a pattern here, you will notice that this isn't the first time where Apple exhibits this type of lag happy behavior.

      1. iPhone 2G released, no bluetooth

      2. iPhone 3G released, terrible battery life and only slightly improved camera, no flash

      3. iPhone 3GS released, still mediocre battery life (still not removable) no SD slot and STILL no flash.

      4. iPhone 4 released, no 4G (while competitors have 4G) decent but not great battery life, 5MP camera (compared to competitors 8.1 MP 12.1 MP) still true and tired iOS.

      Back when the 3G was released, there were much cheaper, non-smart phones which offered some of the basic features that Apple failed to provide again and again. This still holds true today and the only reason Apple sells so well is because they have a superior market strategy, an already proven name and asthetics.

      Think about it, if 10 people tell you to shop at X store, why would you opt for Y store knowning that it's clearly better? Well because you want to fit in with those 10 other people; you are socially conditioned to believe that X store will have better clothes, even though that may not be the case.

      The samething applies to listening to Mainstream music vs Non-Mainstream, etc etc.

      Conclusion: Android clearly has some features that rival the iPhone... even though it may not be selling as much. This isn't an opinion, this is a clear fact and you can either flame me for it or accept the truth and move on with your life.
    1. rossj81's Avatar
      rossj81 -
      You buy an iPhone and unkownenly become a member of a cult. I love my iPhone 4 but I look towards the Android OS with envy. In the end, options satisfies the household. "Options" something the iOS lacks!
    1. mortopher's Avatar
      mortopher -
      Quote Originally Posted by Dr.Xanax View Post
      Though some may not agree that Android is superior to iOS, I think most of us can unianomously agree that the iPhone operating system is in need of a massive overhaul. The GUI, integration and overall washed out feel simply doesn't "just work" anymore. With Google offering what seems to be a very powerful force in the mobile OS market, Apple better take a hint.

      Remember that necessity is the mother of all invention. As of right now, it's fairly clear that Apple doesn't see the necessity to improve their OS (also, Steve Jobs' massive ego inhibits the potential for growth). If you look at a pattern here, you will notice that this isn't the first time where Apple exhibits this type of lag happy behavior.

      1. iPhone 2G released, no bluetooth

      2. iPhone 3G released, terrible battery life and only slightly improved camera, no flash

      3. iPhone 3GS released, still mediocre battery life (still not removable) no SD slot and STILL no flash.

      4. iPhone 4 released, no 4G (while competitors have 4G) decent but not great battery life, 5MP camera (compared to competitors 8.1 MP 12.1 MP) still true and tired iOS.

      Back when the 3G was released, there were much cheaper, non-smart phones which offered some of the basic features that Apple failed to provide again and again. This still holds true today and the only reason Apple sells so well is because they have a superior market strategy, an already proven name and asthetics.

      Think about it, if 10 people tell you to shop at X store, why would you opt for Y store knowning that it's clearly better? Well because you want to fit in with those 10 other people; you are socially conditioned to believe that X store will have better clothes, even though that may not be the case.

      The samething applies to listening to Mainstream music vs Non-Mainstream, etc etc.

      Conclusion: Android clearly has some features that rival the iPhone... even though it may not be selling as much. This isn't an opinion, this is a clear fact and you can either flame me for it or accept the truth and move on with your life.
      1. No competitor had a 4G phone on the market (in the U.S.) when the iPhone 4 was released.

      2. Show me a smartphone that has a better battery than the iPhone 4. I use mine like mad and have never been stranded with a dead phone.

      3. Please read up on how insignificant MPs really are in the grand scheme of things when it comes to photo quality.


      the only reason Apple sells so well is because they have a superior market strategy, an already proven name and asthetics.
      What? This is your reasoning as to why Apple gets away with it's "lag happy behavior"?
    1. squassss's Avatar
      squassss -
      Quote Originally Posted by mortopher View Post
      1. No competitor had a 4g phone on the market (in the u.s.) when the iphone 4 was released.

      2. Show me a smartphone that has a better battery than the iphone 4. I use mine like mad and have never been stranded with a dead phone.

      3. Please read up on how insignificant mps really are in the grand scheme of things when it comes to photo quality.




      What? This is your reasoning as to why apple gets away with it's "lag happy behavior"?
      this.
    1. Dr.Xanax's Avatar
      Dr.Xanax -
      Quote Originally Posted by mortopher View Post
      1. No competitor had a 4G phone on the market (in the U.S.) when the iPhone 4 was released.

      2. Show me a smartphone that has a better battery than the iPhone 4. I use mine like mad and have never been stranded with a dead phone.

      3. Please read up on how insignificant MPs really are in the grand scheme of things when it comes to photo quality.




      What? This is your reasoning as to why Apple gets away with it's "lag happy behavior"?

      1. It doesn't matter. Apple had the technology and the potential to make their new phone a 4G Phone. Since Apple is the leader in the smartphone market, they shouldn't have to wait and be the follower in order to produce the latest, cutting edge tech.

      2. In terms of rated battery, you're probably right. Apple usually overestimates how long their batteries last. However, real world tests prove that even with multiple processes, cpu usage etc running on a competing phone like the Droid X, the battery life is still just as good. So if we were to turn off all these features and make the Droid X very iPhone like, then I'm sure the battery would be better than the iP4.

      3. Why because Steve Jobs said so in the press conference? I don't care if the iPhone 4 has a better "photon sensor," because while the pics may look good on the phone (due to retina display), when blown up to a full screen monitor or printout, you will clearly see the difference.

      Think about it, 5 MP is 5 MP, that's roughly 2580 X 2048 compared to the 3464 x 2312 of an 8 MP shooter. (Again, these numbers are not exact, but I simply googled "MP calculator" and got the values from there, so before you nitpick, I'm just letting you know how I obtained the figures). Once you blow up these images, pixels will ultimately be pixels and the 5 MP will give in much before the 8 MP pics will.

      4. So since YOUR phone doesn't die, it automatically invalidates my claim? Please don't ever become an attorney because you will lose every single case with this kind of reasoning. Just because Unmarried Jane makes 500k a year working 20 hours a week doesn't mean you will. You have to look at the big picture, not your exceptional or rather, insignificant, case.

      Apple does get away with being behind the curve. This pattern doesn't only apply to Apple though. VHS won over betamax even though BM was superior; McDonalds still sells more than any other fast food joint, even though we can all agree that mom and pop shops probably offer better food.

      What is my point? My point is that Superior Marketing almost always triumphs in a consumer driven market. Apple is obviously very good at marketing their products. Bose makes some of the most expensive speakers with less/similar sound quality as competitors who sell for cheaper, yet Bose still sells more. Just because the masses decide to purchase X product over Y product doesn't mean that Y product is inferior. Get your facts straight and do some research.

      Alternative: If that was too much for your mind to handle, check out iPhone 4 vs HTC EVO 4G on youtube, that will make it easier for you to understand.